- June 20, 2025
RF's David Slatter on Navigating a Shifting Global Economy with Clarity and Confidence
• “If globalization brought you lower prices and more choice, what do you think happens when you reverse it?”
• “The world is a riskier place now than it was when markets were bottoming.”
• “[The US Dollar’s] reign as the reserve currency will come to an end. What replaces it? That’s the big question.”
Provocative? Yes. But David Slatter, VP of Investments at RF Bank & Trust, isn’t in the business of fear—he’s in the business of facts, strategy, and opportunity. In a wide-ranging interview on Cayman’s Money Sense radio show, Slatter unpacked the forces shaping global markets today and offered clear, level-headed insight on how investors—and economies—can adapt and thrive.
Markets Are Up. But So Are the Unknowns.
At first glance, the market rebound might look like a return to “normal.” But Slatter urges investors to look beneath the surface.
“Markets may have gotten ahead of themselves,” he observed. “Despite recent gains, the underlying risks—geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, inflationary pressure—haven’t gone away. In some cases, they’ve deepened.”
That doesn’t mean panic—it means perspective. For long-term investors, this is a moment to assess, not retreat.
Tariffs, Trade, and the Realities of Re-Globalization
Slatter is especially focused on the ripple effects of global trade tensions. “Tariffs aren’t just abstract policy,” he explained. “They flow through the entire system—reducing trade, raising costs, and slowing growth.”
And while some may hope a resurgence of domestic manufacturing will solve those problems, Slatter remains pragmatic: “Modern factories are increasingly automated. The idea that we’re going back to high-employment industrial production is more nostalgic than realistic.”
Still, he believes that regions like the Caribbean can find opportunity in shifting trade routes—especially by thinking creatively about supply chains and regional logistics.
Stagflation Risk or Strategic Reset?
Slatter introduced the idea that stagflation—a mix of slowing growth and persistent inflation—is a possibility, but he was quick to clarify that the key is preparation, not pessimism.
“It’s not about expecting the worst,” he said. “It’s about being smart. Adjust your portfolio, reduce exposure where necessary, and focus on quality assets with strong fundamentals.”
He noted RF's current positioning: moderate-duration fixed income, emphasis on investment-grade over high-yield, and diversification into lower-beta equity sectors like healthcare, utilities, and select financials.
The Dollar, Diversification, and a More Balanced World
Perhaps one of his most headline-worthy remarks came when asked about the longevity of the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
“My view is that its reign will come to an end eventually,” he said, before quickly adding, “That doesn’t mean tomorrow. But it reinforces why diversification—across geographies, asset classes, and currencies—is essential.”
That includes opportunities in European and Asian equities, precious metals, and strategic sector exposure across global markets.
So What Does This Mean for the Caribbean?
Closer to home, Slatter sees both challenges and bright spots. “Cayman continues to attract long-term capital and high-net-worth investors. Financial services remain strong,” he said. “In The Bahamas, cruise tourism is rebounding, though stopover visitor growth is moderating.”
His outlook? “Growth may slow somewhat, but the region is resilient. With sound planning, we’ll weather any external shocks.”
Investment Strategy in Uncertain Times
David recommended a conservative investment approach: reduce exposure to high P/E stocks, favor shorter-duration bonds, increase geographic diversification (Europe, Asia, Japan), focus on defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and financials, and add precious metals (gold, silver) as hedges.
Final Word: Be Prudent, Stay Invested, Stay Diversified
David Slatter’s message wasn’t doom and gloom—it was one of informed optimism. “The global picture is uncertain, yes—but uncertainty breeds opportunity for those who are prepared.”
For investors, the takeaway is simple: don’t overreact, but don’t be complacent either. Re-evaluate. Diversify. And keep moving forward.
David Slatter’s Top Insights for Investors Today
• Markets are recovering—but not without risk
• Tariffs create pressure—but also regional opportunity
• Diversify beyond the U.S.—think globally, act strategically
• Quality, defensive assets are in focus
• The Caribbean outlook is steady—with smart positioning